Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 5.033793 5.807576 6.659376 7.666497 8.824745 10.115160 11.662180
2024-12-15 4.121507 5.171293 6.424914 8.031888 10.037410 12.458560 15.605446
2024-12-22 3.303808 4.462271 5.948033 7.992455 10.733241 14.282674 19.233777
2024-12-29 2.913955 4.204670 5.969415 8.556950 12.255353 17.355163 24.932614
2025-01-05 2.551183 3.909118 5.876811 8.933148 13.562922 20.320446 30.951987
2025-01-12 2.187783 3.542188 5.612078 9.001600 14.416552 22.741872 36.543313
2025-01-19 1.793234 3.055482 5.082001 8.566877 14.414890 23.848541 40.261710
2025-01-26 1.631237 2.913630 5.068290 8.944573 15.751163 27.227867 48.104393
2025-02-02 1.536869 2.868467 5.202672 9.582340 17.604530 31.699359 58.422230
2025-02-09 1.394515 2.713155 5.119015 9.815948 18.768834 35.121253 67.358139
2025-02-16 1.258116 2.545994 4.986432 9.933310 19.724591 38.276401 76.223128
2025-02-23 1.097679 2.306377 4.681101 9.670554 19.907396 39.993488 82.548425
2025-03-02 0.941646 2.055917 4.327400 9.277838 19.813681 41.236220 88.277786
2025-03-09 0.860556 1.949531 4.249632 9.441998 20.888757 44.973562 99.712009
2025-03-16 0.757392 1.778627 4.011438 9.227518 21.127141 47.011400 107.839350
2025-03-23 0.725561 1.763328 4.108235 9.768002 23.108056 53.059128 125.720495
2025-03-30 0.682701 1.715313 4.124283 10.125739 24.725631 58.526340 143.094444
2025-04-06 0.623266 1.617595 4.010524 10.158714 25.583052 62.373954 157.225467
2025-04-13 0.539284 1.444893 3.691818 9.642147 25.027349 62.813479 163.135129
2025-04-20 0.514719 1.421480 3.737497 10.049789 26.845743 69.258420 185.050453
2025-04-27 0.505947 1.438710 3.888783 10.754366 29.534825 78.245367 214.857006
2025-05-04 0.476434 1.394305 3.872533 11.009059 31.068351 84.481496 238.290877
2025-05-11 0.444175 1.336938 3.813044 11.135993 32.272528 90.016301 260.636592